Field note 05 · Websites · Field Notes

What should I fix on my website before Black Friday?

Fix the three things that fail on Black Friday and cannot be fixed on the day: whether the page a machine reads actually carries your offer, whether the site stands up when everyone arrives at once, and whether an enquiry that lands at nine at night gets answered. A discount cannot rescue any of those.

Key takeaways

  • Fix the three things that fail on Black Friday and cannot be fixed on the day: a page a machine can read, a site that holds up, enquiries that get answered.
  • A large share of your year now lands in one month, so the time to act is the three weeks before Black Friday, not the day itself.
  • Do not launch a new site days before your busiest month. Fix what you have, because a discount cannot rescue broken plumbing.

November has quietly eaten December.

Statistics South Africa publishes the cleanest view of this. In 2011, the year before Black Friday appeared online here, November was 42.5% of combined November and December retail sales. By 2025 it was 45.9%. The month has shifted: the spending that used to wait for December now happens before it.

Two things in that data are worth more than the headline. The high was 2019, at 46.4%, so 2025 sits just below a peak set six years earlier. Black Friday did not keep growing; it arrived, moved the money, and settled. And Statistics South Africa says plainly that it cannot isolate the day itself from the month: November 2025 came to R117.9 billion in inflation-adjusted sales, 3.6% up on the year before, and how much of that was Black Friday is not something the data can tell you. They compare November against December because that is the honest proxy available.

So the useful conclusion is not "Black Friday is getting bigger". It is that a large share of your year now lands in one month, and the month is nearly here.

What actually breaks.

Not the discount. The plumbing around it.

A payment processor, Peach Payments, reported about 2.69 million transactions worth roughly R1.86 billion across the four days from Black Friday to Cyber Monday in 2025, up 93% in rand value on 2024. That is one processor's own slice of the market rather than the market, but the shape of it is the point: the traffic arrives compressed into days, and anything that is marginal on a normal Tuesday fails under that.

Three failures account for most of it, and all three are testable today.

The page a machine reads is not the page you see.

Before anyone buys, something has to find you. A search engine or an assistant reads your page as it leaves the server, before anything in the browser runs. If your words arrive after that, they may as well not arrive.

This is not theoretical for us. We ran our own sixteen checks on our own old homepage and got 15 out of 32. On the rebuilt site we get 32 out of 32. Same instrument, our homepage against our homepage, and we publish the result because we would rather show it than describe it. If your offer lives inside a script that runs late, the machine sending you customers in November never sees it.

The site that is fine on a Tuesday.

Nothing on your site is tested by a normal week. The traffic does not spread itself politely across the month, and a page that is merely slow on a quiet Tuesday is a different proposition when everybody arrives at once.

You cannot simulate that properly without tools, but you can ask three questions and have them answered in writing before November.

Ask whoever hosts the site what happens at ten times your normal traffic, and whether it costs you anything when it happens. Ask whether the pictures on your busiest pages are the originals straight off a camera or sized for the web, because unsized images are the commonest reason a page that was fine becomes a page that is not. And open your own site on a phone, on mobile data, away from the office, because that is the connection most of your customers will be on and it is nothing like the one you test on.

None of those is a rebuild. All three are a phone call and ten minutes, and you will know by the end of the week whether you have a problem or not.

The enquiry that arrives at nine at night.

Black Friday does not respect office hours. The question is not whether you can reply at nine at night, it is whether the enquiry still exists in the morning.

Most of the losses we find are not dramatic. A form that sends to a mailbox nobody owns. A notification that fires before the record is saved, so the record is never saved. A WhatsApp number on the site that belongs to someone who left. None of those show up in a dashboard, because a lost enquiry leaves no trace of itself.

That is the awkward part of this one. The other two failures are visible once you look. This one is invisible by design, because the only evidence of it is something that did not happen, and the only way to find it is to send yourself an enquiry and watch what the business does with it.

What to do with the three weeks you have.

In this order, because the order is the saving.

  1. Read your own page the way a machine does. If the words are not in the served page, nothing else on this list matters.
  2. Send yourself an enquiry from a phone, on data, at night. Then check it arrived, check who owns the mailbox, and reply to your own message.
  3. Ask the three hosting questions and get the answers in writing.
  4. Decide the one thing you are promising and put it where it is read first. A page offering everything at a discount reads as nothing at a discount.
  5. Leave the redesign alone. Three weeks before your biggest month is the wrong moment to change the structure a search engine depends on. Fix, do not rebuild.

Two questions this raises.

Is it too late to do anything if I start in November?

No, if you stick to the five above, because none of them is a build. It is too late to start a new website, and that is a real answer rather than a sales one: a site that launches days before your busiest month carries every untested decision into it.

There is also a quieter cost to launching late. A new site changes the addresses a search engine has already learned, and it takes time for that to settle. Doing it in October means the settling happens while you are trying to sell.

Should I discount at all if my margins are thin?

That is a trading decision and not a website one, but the website changes the maths. If the page converts badly you are discounting to compensate for the page, which costs more than fixing it. Work out what the page is costing you before you decide what to give away.

Sources.

Statistics South Africa, "The Black Friday effect: Exploring the latest data", statssa.gov.za, read 13 October 2026. November's share of combined November and December retail sales: 42.5% in 2011, 44.6% in 2023, 45.9% in 2025, with the high of 46.4% in 2019. November 2025 at R117.9 billion in inflation-adjusted sales, 3.6% up on the year before. The point that the agency cannot isolate Black Friday itself from the month is theirs rather than ours, and we have kept it because it changes what the figures can be used for.

Peach Payments, "Black Friday Up 93% Over 2024, R1,86bn Processed", peachpayments.com, read 13 October 2026. About 2.69 million transactions, roughly R1.86 billion, 93% up on 2024 across the four days from Black Friday to Cyber Monday. Self-reported by one payment processor and not independently audited, which is why this note calls it one processor's slice of the market rather than the market.

Our own Pulse Check scores, 15 out of 32 and 32 out of 32, run on our own old homepage and our own rebuilt one with our own instrument on 9 October 2026. Homepage against homepage, which is the only honest way to put it.

Three figures we left out. Numbers that circulate about South African e-commerce are not in this note, because we could not reach a primary source for them in the time we had: e-commerce passing R130 billion, an average basket of R827, and online retail growth at 35% and 38%. They may well be correct. They are not checked, and the rule we set ourselves was that every figure here is.

Where to start.

Run the Pulse Check on your own site. It is free, it takes about twenty seconds, it stores nothing, and it reads your page the way a machine does rather than the way you do. If it finds something you do not like, that is the list to work from between now and the end of November.

It is the first instrument in every Signal Audit we run at Nudge, and we left it free and open on purpose. The three weeks before your busiest month is the wrong time for anybody to be selling you something.

Diagnose first. Then fix. Then grow.

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